Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 9.970892 11.501813 13.145017 15.034731 17.142553 19.415950 22.047842
2025-09-21 7.878549 9.934522 12.299742 15.201861 18.645425 22.579002 27.388820
2025-09-28 6.532351 8.826878 11.610426 15.195141 19.644826 24.940160 31.667342
2025-10-05 5.743161 8.224508 11.370208 15.583994 21.006415 27.670382 36.390560
2025-10-12 5.086726 7.679161 11.098418 15.840935 22.138269 30.094408 40.770310
2025-10-19 4.497468 7.136606 10.748780 15.922233 22.990529 32.145190 44.706643
2025-10-26 3.853606 6.432079 10.094985 15.510461 23.118605 33.211765 47.360104
2025-11-02 3.347688 5.864918 9.569260 15.211223 23.344379 34.373307 50.135576
2025-11-09 2.911838 5.350476 9.064816 14.886174 23.486106 35.391429 52.716664
2025-11-16 2.549094 4.907616 8.621777 14.604396 23.649903 36.416944 55.311324
2025-11-23 2.197995 4.440760 8.095361 14.147278 23.512299 36.986536 57.260262
2025-11-30 1.998930 4.211114 7.923302 14.216862 24.147678 38.666623 60.813799
2025-12-07 1.805521 3.972314 7.719776 14.226911 24.698568 40.255354 64.311176
2025-12-14 1.658964 3.802724 7.616788 14.388126 25.483664 42.209957 68.395927
2025-12-21 1.501794 3.592980 7.424032 14.381725 25.993620 43.758004 71.915802
2025-12-28 1.416536 3.515331 7.456991 14.753401 27.118093 46.266190 76.928540
2026-01-04 1.321395 3.405626 7.420892 14.999034 28.040678 48.485631 81.559897
2026-01-11 1.213629 3.255587 7.295963 15.076760 28.681929 50.279609 85.584028
2026-01-18 1.061647 2.988106 6.923131 14.683110 28.506434 50.772317 87.608820
2026-01-25 0.938546 2.768344 6.622448 14.397095 28.492335 51.509144 90.018073
2026-02-01 0.826627 2.558259 6.321093 14.086460 28.413763 52.128627 92.246665
2026-02-08 0.730799 2.372810 6.052502 13.817222 28.388771 52.824691 94.602974
2026-02-15 0.631754 2.162742 5.710990 13.380537 28.037703 52.960800 96.052788